... impossible: odds of occurrence are 1 in 10,000,000. Table 1 Description of three model risk assessment experiments Description of three model risk assessment experiments Experiment                         Description A  Students estimate the likelihood of a failure after being...

.... In these problems, we usually assume that we know the conditional probability densities (CPDs) or conditional probability tables (CPTs), and the BN topology. Computational reliability methods Risk Risk assessment Uncertainty 16 05 2017 15 01 2018 Manuscript received May 16, 2017...

...Hidemasa Yamano; Hiroyuki Nishino; Kenichi Kurisaka; Takahiro Yamamoto The objective of this paper is to develop a probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodology against volcanic eruption for decay heat removal function of sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs). In the volcanic PRA methodology...

... piping locations has the potential to minimize the hydrocarbon release. One of the primary challenges in preparation of inspection program for offshore piping is to identify the fatigue critical piping locations. At present, the three-staged risk assessment process (RAP) given in the Energy Institute (EI...

...Yan Wang; Laura Swiler 07 07 2017 25 07 2017 Reliability based design Resilience Risk assessment Risk management Uncertainty The importance of uncertainty has been recognized in various modeling, simulation, and analysis applications, where inherent assumptions...

... and Risk Analysis of Managed Pressure Drilling Operation Using Bayesian Network ,” Saf. Sci. , 76 , pp. 133 – 144 . 10.1016/j.ssci.2015.01.010 [5] Leu , S. , and Chang , C. , 2013 , “ Bayesian-Network-Based Safety Risk Assessment for Steel Construction Projects ,” Accid. Anal. Prev...

... Engine Risk Assessment ,” IEEE Aerospace Conference ( AERO ), Big Sky, MT, Mar. 18–25, pp. 345 – 353 . 10.1109/AERO.2000.877909 [7] DePold , H. R. , and Gass , F. D. , 1999 , “ The Application of Expert Systems and Neural Networks to Gas Turbine Prognostics and Diagnostics ,” ASME J...

... received August 4, 2015; final manuscript received October 12, 2016; published online June 12, 2017. Assoc. Editor: Michael Beer. 04 08 2015 12 10 2016 Marine Probability Reliability Risk analysis Risk assessment Structures Systems reliability Uncertainty Time-dependent...

... Emergency Energy Failure Hazard impact Infrastructure Mitigation Natural disaster Natural hazards Reliability Resilience Risk Risk analysis Risk assessment Electricity distribution networks of today are an integral part of societies. Moreover, most of the other critical infrastructures...

.... 30 09 2016 26 12 2016 Earthquake Earthquake risk Fragility Infrastructure Probability Reliability Risk analysis Risk assessment Structural reliability Uncertainty Failure or malfunction of water supply networks, as well as other complex engineered network, involves...

... of Hydraulic Turbine Runners ,” Int. J. Fluid Mach. Syst. , 8 ( 4 ), pp.  254 – 263 . 10.5293/IJFMS.2015.8.4.254 [3] Aven , T. , Baraldi , P. , Flage , R. , and Zio , E. , 2014 , Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: The Representation and Treatment of Uncertainties by Probabilistic and Non...

... ]. Reliability Risk assessment Corrosion under insulation is defined as a type of corrosion that happens in piping, pressure vessels and structural components, resulting from water trapped under insulation or fireproofing. CUI can occur at − 12 ° C to 177°C, the operating temperature range...

.... , and Yang , W. , 2015 , “ Realization of Stabilization Using Feed-Forward and Feedback Controller Composition Method for a Mobile Robot ,” Int. J. Control Autom. Syst. , 13 ( 5 ), pp. 1201 – 1211 . 10.1007/s12555-013-0508-8 Risk analysis Risk assessment Figure 2 shows a schematic...

...Tamunoiyala S. Koko; Bilal M. Ayyub; Keith Gallant In the companion paper (Ayyub et al., 2016, “Risk Assessment Methodology for Electric-Current Induced Drowning Accidents,” ASCE-ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Eng. Syst. Part B Mech. Eng., 3(3), pp. XXX-XXX.), the authors developed a methodology...

... 27 04 2015 02 10 2015 Mechanical Risk assessment Structures The crankshaft is one of the most critical parts of the engine and bears complicated loads. Its quality determines the performance of the automobile, with the attendant stress analysis being one of the cornerstones...

... 01 07 2015 Management Mechanical Project management Risk analysis Risk assessment Risk management Risk and uncertainty are natural qualifications of construction projects, being viewed from the perspective of some potential threats and opportunities. The committee of project...

... . 10.1080/0740817X.2012.706378 [8] Aven , T. , and Zio , E. , 2011 , “ Some Considerations on the Treatment of Uncertainties in Risk Assessment for Practical Decision Making ,” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , 96 ( 1 ), pp.  64 – 74 . 10.1016/j.ress.2010.06.001 [9] Bernardo , J. M...

... Risk assessment Risk-based optimisation Systems reliability EHV power transmission lines have operating voltages of 345 kV or greater. Given the requirement of the electricity systems’ safety, although delivering electromagnetic energy and monitoring the electrical risks within highway ROW...

... received January 15, 2015; published online April 20, 2015. Assoc. Editor: Athanasios Pantelous. 30 8 2014 15 1 2015 05 02 2015 20 04 2015 Management Risk analysis Risk assessment Risk management Modeling and forecasting the volatility of financial asset...